Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) Stock Analysis – July 18, 2025
As of July 18, 2025, Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) stock price today is $183.58, ticking up +0.33% on the session. The daily candlestick chart is showing a bullish continuation off a recent higher low, and price is once again grinding toward resistance territory.
- Daily Trend: Bullish continuation
- 52-Week High: $191.60
- 52-Week Low: $115.83
- Major Resistance Ahead: $186.50–$188.00
- Critical Support Zone: $177.00–$174.50
- Setup Watch: Breakout buildup or fakeout trap?
After recovering from the June dip, GOOGL has now printed nine green candles over the last 12 trading sessions a strong show of buyer interest. But momentum is now facing its first real resistance zone since the mid-June drop.
Contents
Candlestick Chart Analysis
Let’s break down the price action like a seasoned trader.
Trend Structure
We’re clearly in an uptrend. GOOGL has printed higher highs and higher lows consistently since June 25th. What’s more impressive is how tight the recent candles have been—a hallmark of an impending move.
From the recent low around $165, price has been climbing with strong demand candles and minor pullbacks. It’s now pressing into a potential supply zone, with tight consolidation from $182 to $184.
Candlestick Patterns
- July 10–12: Strong three-candle push following a tight flag (bullish continuation pattern)
- July 15–17: Small-bodied candles near the top — often signals compression before breakout or buyer exhaustion
- July 18: A mild bullish candle but with upper wick—suggests some selling pressure above $184
Chart Observations
- No clear reversal pattern—not seeing shooting stars, dojis, or bearish engulfings yet
- No fakeouts on recent breaks—price action is clean and real volume has been supporting the climb
- If this continues, we might see a tight breakout into $186–$188, then a retest
Support and Resistance Levels Table
Here are the key levels we’re watching in GOOGL’s candlestick chart:
| Type | Price Level | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Resistance 1 | $184.00 | Intraday resistance (July 18 high) |
| Resistance 2 | $186.50 | Key supply zone |
| Resistance 3 | $188.00 | Breakout trigger |
| Resistance 4 | $191.60 | 52-week high |
| Support 1 | $180.50 | Short-term base |
| Support 2 | $177.20 | Key bounce level |
| Support 3 | $174.50 | Bull flag base zone |
| Support 4 | $165.00 | Swing low from June |
Most important zone? $186.50–$188.00. If we close above this range with decent volume, it opens the path to retest the 52-week high at $191.60.
7-Day Price Forecast Table
Here’s how the next week could shape up for GOOGL based on structure and trader sentiment:
| Date | High | Low | Expected Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 18 | 184.50 | 181.00 | 183.58 |
| July 19 | 185.50 | 182.00 | 184.20 |
| July 20 | 186.80 | 183.00 | 185.90 |
| July 21 | 188.00 | 184.50 | 187.40 |
| July 22 | 189.50 | 186.00 | 188.80 |
| July 23 | 191.00 | 187.50 | 190.10 |
| July 24 | 192.00 | 188.00 | 191.20 |
If GOOGL keeps closing above $182.50, we could see a smooth grind toward $191–192 by next week. However, a break below $180.50 invalidates the bullish build-up short term and could lead to a test of $177.
Buy, Hold, or Sell Decision Table
| Action | Trigger Condition | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|
| BUY | Close above $188.00 | Clean breakout with rising momentum |
| HOLD | Range $180.50–$187.50 | Consolidating; needs breakout confirmation |
| SELL | Break below $177.00 | Loss of structure, momentum rolls over |
Analysis:
Right now, this is a classic HOLD setup with bullish bias.
If you’re already long from the $174–178 region, you’re sitting in a strong position. But if you’re looking to enter, the risk-reward isn’t ideal here unless we get either:
- A pullback entry into $180–$181
- Or a clear breakout above $188, which would flip the structure cleanly bullish and target $192–$195.
Don’t chase in the middle.
Fundamental Triggers Ahead
Here’s what could influence GOOGL stock price action today and this week:
- Alphabet Q2 Earnings (Expected July 25–26) Big catalyst. Investors want to see revenue growth in AI + Cloud segments.
- Fed Meeting Commentary If rate guidance softens, tech stocks could surge again.
- AI Sector Sentiment Strong performance from NVDA, MSFT, or AMD could lift GOOGL
- Analyst Upgrades or PT Increases GOOGL has been getting price target hikes from major banks
- Institutional Flows Hedge fund accumulation will be clearer post-earnings
Final Thoughts
I’m leaning bullish on Alphabet here, but we’re close to critical resistance.
This setup reminds me of previous “grind-to-break” zones I’ve traded—slow upward candles near key resistance often trap weak shorts and build enough energy for a pop. If that breakout happens above $188, it could be explosive—especially with earnings next week.
Upside Target: $191.60 (52-week high) → $195 (stretch)
Invalidation Point: Below $177 support
Fakeout Watch: If we break $186 but wick back below, it’s a trap
“In my experience, when tech names coil this tightly before earnings and price is stair-stepping with shallow pullbacks, it’s often the calm before a big move. I wouldn’t short it here, and I wouldn’t chase either. Wait for that confirmation or reset.”
