Meta Platforms Inc. (META) Stock Analysis Today – July 17, 2025
Meta Platforms (META) closed today at $702.91, down -1.05% after slipping below the psychological $705-710 area. This stock is starting to roll over after a strong 3-month rally off its April lows.
Right now, price action looks shaky near support, and there’s a growing risk META could revisit deeper levels if buyers don’t step up soon. Momentum is clearly fading, and traders should keep this on close watch.
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Meta Chart Analysis Today July 17
Alright, let’s get real here — this chart isn’t giving the bulls much to cheer about right now.
Visible Trend
META’s January–February run was textbook bullish higher highs, clean volume, and aggressive breakouts. But ever since the early March peak (~$765), this chart has been flashing more warning signs than green lights.
After a deep flush into April (~$550), we got a sharp recovery bounce through May and June, but now? We’re seeing META roll over again from around $740-750 struggling to hold key support zones.
Right now, price is breaking below the early July lows near $705-710, which puts the stock right on the edge of a technical breakdown.
Candlestick Patterns
Look at the past two weeks lower highs, long upper wicks, weak closes near the lows. That’s classic distributive price action. Bulls are getting rejected, and sellers are walking it down candle-by-candle.
The candle today? Another red close, another lower low. That’s bearish structure building.
No bullish reversal patterns visible here. No hammers, no engulfings. Just bleed.
Volume Insights
Volume on the push higher into late June was strong. Since then? It’s dried up noticeably. That’s not what bulls want to see after a breakout attempt. Lower highs on fading volume screams buyer exhaustion.
Watch for any surge in volume on breakdowns — that’d confirm sellers taking control.
Moving Averages / RSI
- 20-day EMA has rolled over, acting as resistance around $725.
- 50-day SMA is flattening but trying to hold near $690.
- RSI slipping toward 40 — momentum fading, but not yet oversold.
There’s no MACD on this chart, but given the price structure, MACD is likely curling lower, approaching a bearish cross under the signal line.
Support & Resistance Levels Table
| Support Levels (USD) | Resistance Levels (USD) |
|---|---|
| $690 | $710 (old support, new resistance) |
| $675 | $740 (lower high zone) |
| $650 | $765 (year high resistance) |
| $625 | $800 (psychological level) |
Critical Zone: The $690-700 zone is the battlefront right now. If META closes under $690 with volume, next stops are likely $675, then $650.
7-Day Price Forecast Table
| Date | High | Low | Close (Est.) |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 18, 2025 | 705.00 | 695.00 | 700.00 |
| July 19, 2025 | 710.00 | 690.00 | 695.00 |
| July 20, 2025 | 700.00 | 680.00 | 685.00 |
| July 21, 2025 | 690.00 | 675.00 | 678.00 |
| July 22, 2025 | 695.00 | 670.00 | 672.00 |
| July 23, 2025 | 685.00 | 660.00 | 665.00 |
| July 24, 2025 | 670.00 | 650.00 | 655.00 |
Forecast Bias: Bearish tilt. Unless META reclaims $710 fast, this looks like a slow-motion breakdown toward $650-675.
Buy, Hold, or Sell Table
| Action | Reasoning |
|---|---|
| Sell / Reduce | Breaking support, weak volume, momentum fading fast. |
| Hold Only with Tight Stops | Neutral if already holding — stops under $690 essential. |
| Buy Only Near $650 With Reversal Signal | Only buy deep support bounces, not this chop near breakdown. |
My Positioning Thought Process:
This isn’t a spot for hero longs unless you’re scalping bounces. Risk/reward stinks until META shows a bottoming candle near $650-675 or clears back over $710 with conviction.
If you’re long from lower levels? I’d be trailing stops tight here. Momentum has clearly shifted south.
Fundamental Triggers
What’s under the hood here fundamentally?
- Earnings Ahead: META’s earnings land in 3 weeks. This period of chop could just be earnings anxiety. If results disappoint, watch out.
- Regulatory Risk: Ongoing EU antitrust probes, data privacy battles—META headlines aren’t bullish lately.
- Ad Market Softness: Q2 data hints at ad spending slowing globally. META’s core business isn’t immune.
- AI Hype Cycle Cooldown: Unlike NVDA or MSFT, META’s AI narrative isn’t driving this chart right now. Sentiment cooled fast.
- Macro: Fed’s rate stance still unclear. Risk assets like big tech wobble on CPI swings.
TL;DR: Fundamentals aren’t disastrous but lack catalysts right now. Without earnings or news? Technicals lead short-term.
Final Thoughts
META’s chart screams fragile, not finished. Bulls had their shot in late June — they failed. Now it’s sellers’ ball unless bulls reclaim territory fast.
I wouldn’t touch this long unless we see some reversal signal at $650-675. Otherwise, patience is key. Trying to catch a falling knife near $700? Classic rookie mistake.
For now, this looks more like drift lower, not breakout higher. Big earnings catalyst ahead could change that — but until then? Respect the tape.
